Question #15

Reading: Reading 3 Machine Learning

PDF File: Reading 3 Machine Learning.pdf

Page: 6

Status: Unattempted

Correct Answer: B

Part of Context Group: Q15-18 First in Group
Shared Context
of 23 In machine learning, out-of-sample error equals: A) Standard error plus data error plus prediction error. B) bias error plus variance error plus base error. C) forecast error plus expected error plus regression error. Hanna Kowalski is a senior fixed-income portfolio analyst at Czarnaskala BP. Kowalski supervises Lena Nowak, who is a junior analyst. Over the past several years, Kowalski has become aware that investment firms are increasingly using technology to improve their investment decision making. Kowalski has become particularly interested in machine learning techniques and how they might be applied to investment management applications. Kowalski has read a number of articles about machine learning in various journals for financial analysts. However, she has only a minimal knowledge of how she might source appropriate model inputs, interpret model outputs, and translate those outputs into investment actions. Kowalski and Nowak meet to discuss plans for incorporating machine learning into their investment model. Kowalski asks Nowak to research machine learning and report back on the types of investment problems that machine learning can address, how the algorithms work, and what the various terminology means. After spending a few hours researching the topic, Nowak makes a number of statements to Kowalski on the topics of: Classification and regression trees (CART) Hierarchical clustering Neural networks Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms Kowalski is left to work out which of Nowak's statements are fully accurate and which are not.
Question
Nowak first tries to explain classification and regression tree (CART) to Kowalski. CART is least likely to be applied to predict a:
Answer Choices:
A. discrete target variable, producing a cardinal tree
B. continuous target variable, producing a regression tree
C. categorical target variable, producing a classification tree
Explanation
Classification and regression trees (CART) are generally applied to predict either a continuous target variable, producing a regression tree, or a categorical target variable, producing a classification tree.
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