Question #54
Reading: Reading 31 Valuation of Contingent Claims
PDF File: Reading 31 Valuation of Contingent Claims.pdf
Page: 25
Status: Unattempted
Part of Context Group: Q54-55
First in Group
Shared Context
Question
Bower computes the implied volatility of a one year caplet on the 90-day LIBOR forward rates to be 18.5%. Using the given information what does this mean for the caplet's market price relative to its theoretical price? The caplet's market price is:
Answer Choices:
A. overvalued
B. undervalued
C. undervalued or overvalued
Explanation
Z90−day =
= 0.98644
Z180−day =
= 0.97264
Z270−day =
= 0.95866
Z360−day =
= 0.94451
The quarterly fixed rate on the swap =
= 0.05549/3.86225 = 0.01437 = 1.437%
1
1+(0.055×90/360)
1
1+(0.05625×180/360)
1
1+(0.57499×270/360)
1
1+(0.058749×360/360)
1−0.94451
0.98644+0.97264+0.95866+0.94451
Volatility and option prices are always positively related. Therefore, since the option
implied volatility is lower than the estimated volatility, this implies that the caplet is
undervalued relative to its theoretical value.