Question #73

Reading: Reading 27 Valuation and Analysis of Bonds With Embedded Options - Anwers

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Part of Context Group: Q73-76 First in Group
Shared Context
of 98 Patrick Wall is a new associate at a large international financial institution. His boss, C.D. Johnson, is responsible for familiarizing Wall with the basics of fixed income investing. Johnson asks Wall to evaluate the two otherwise identical bonds shown in Table 1. The callable bond is callable at 100 and exercisable on the coupon dates only. Wall is told to evaluate the bonds with respect to duration and convexity when interest rates decline by 50 basis points at all maturities over the next six months. Johnson supplies Wall with the requisite interest rate tree shown in Figure 1. Johnson explains to Wall that the prices of the bonds in Table 1 were computed using the interest rate lattice. Johnson instructs Wall to try and replicate the information in Table 1 and use his analysis to derive an investment decision for his portfolio. Table 1 Bond Descriptions Non-callable Bond Callable Bond Price $100.83 $98.79 Time to Maturity (years) 5 5 Time to First Call Date -- 0 Annual Coupon $6.25 $6.25 Interest Payment Semi-annual Semi-annual Yield to Maturity 6.0547% 6.5366% Price Value per Basis Point 428.0360 -- Figure 1 15.44% 14.10% 12.69% 12.46% 11.85% 11.38% 9.75% 10.25% 10.05% 8.95% 9.57% 9.19% 7.91% 7.88% 8.28% 8.11% 7.35% 7.23% 7.74% 7.42% 6.62% 6.40% 6.37% 6.69% 6.54% 6.05% 5.95% 5.85% 6.25% 5.99% 5.36% 5.17% 5.15% 5.40% 5.28% 4.81% 4.73% 5.05% 4.83% 4.18% 4.16% 4.36% 4.26% 3.82% 4.08% 3.90% 3.37% 3.52% 3.44% 3.30% 3.15% 2.84% 2.77% 2.54% 2.24% Years 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 ..................................................................................................................................................................................................... Given the following relevant part of the interest rate tree, the value of the callable bond at node A is closest to: 3.44% A 3.15% 2.77% A) $101.53. B) $103.56. C) $100.00. Explanation The value of the callable bond at node A is obtained as follows: Bond Value = the lesser of the Call Price or {0.5 × [Bond Valueup + Coupon/2] + 0.5 × [Bond Valuedown + Coupon/2]}/(1 + Interest Rate/2)] So we have Bond Value at node A = the lesser of either $100 or  {0.5 × [$100.00 + $6.25/2] + 0.5 × [$100.00+ $6.25/2]}/(1+ 3.15%/2) = $101.52. Since the call price of $100 is less than the computed value of $101.52 the bond price would be $100 because once the price of the bond reached this value it would be called. (Module 27.2, LOS 27.f) Natalia Berg, CFA, has estimated the key rate durations for several maturities in three of her $25 million bond portfolios, as shown in Exhibit 1. Exhibit 1: Key Rate Durations for Three Fixed-Income Portfolios Key Rate Maturity Portfolio 1 Portfolio 2 Portfolio 3 2-year 2.45 0.35 1.26 5-year 0.20 0.40 1.27 10-year 0.15 4.00 1.23 20-year 2.20 0.25 1.24 Total 5.00 5.00 5.00 At a fixed-income conference in London, Berg hears a presentation by a university professor on the increasing use of the swap rate curve as a benchmark instead of the government bond yield curve. When Berg returns from the conference, she realizes she has left her notes from the presentation on the airplane. However, she is very interested in learning more about whether she should consider using the swap rate curve in her work. As she tries to reconstruct what was said at the conference, she writes down two advantages to using the swap rate curve: Statement 1: The swap rate curve typically has yield quotes at 11 maturities between 2 and 30 years. The U.S. government bond yield curve, however, has fewer on-the-run issues trading at maturities of at least two years. Statement 2: Swap curves across countries are more comparable than government bond curves because they reflect similar levels of credit risk. Berg also estimates the nominal spread, Z-spread, and option-adjusted spread (OAS) for the Steigers Corporation callable bonds in Portfolio 2. The OAS is estimated from a binomial interest rate tree. The results are shown in Exhibit 2. Exhibit 2: Spread Measures for Steigers Corporation Callable Bonds Spread Measure Benchmark Nominal spread 25 basis points Steigers Corp yield curve Z-spread 35 basis points Steigers Corp spot rate curve OAS −20 basis points Steigers Corp spot rate curve Nominal spread 120 basis points Treasury yield curve OAS 40 basis points Treasury spot rate curve Berg determines that to obtain an accurate estimate of the effective duration and effective convexity of a callable bond using a binomial model, the specified change in yield (i.e., Δy) must be equal to the OAS. Berg also observes that the current Treasury bond yield curve is upward sloping. Based on this observation, Berg forecasts that short-term interest rates will increase.
Question
Are the two observations Berg writes down after the fixed income conference advantages to using the swap rate curve as a benchmark instead of a government bond curve?
Answer Choices:
A. Only Statement 1 is an advantage
B. Both statements are advantages
C. Only Statement 2 is an advantage. Explanation Swap rates are fixed rates on plain-vanilla interest rate swaps. The swap rate curve (also known as the LIBOR curve) is the series of swap rates quoted by swap dealers over maturities extending from 2 to 30 years. Both of Berg's observations are advantages to using the swap rate curve instead of a government bond curve as a benchmark rate curve. (Module 25.3, LOS 25.e)
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