Question #31

Reading: Reading 25 The Term Structure and Interest Rate Dynamics

PDF File: Reading 25 The Term Structure and Interest Rate Dynamics.pdf

Page: 11

Status: Correct

Correct Answer: A

Question
According to the pure expectations theory, which of the following statements is most accurate? Forward rates:
Answer Choices:
A. are biased estimates of market expectations
B. always overestimate future spot rates
Explanation
The pure expectations theory, also referred to as the unbiased expectations theory, purports that forward rates are solely a function of expected future spot rates. Under the pure expectations theory, a yield curve that is upward (downward) sloping, means that short-term rates are expected to rise (fall). A flat yield curve implies that the market expects short-term rates to remain constant.
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