Question #11

Reading: Reading 2 Time-Series Analysis

PDF File: Reading 2 Time-Series Analysis.pdf

Page: 5

Status: Unattempted

Part of Context Group: Q11-12 First in Group
Shared Context
- What is the forecast for the gross margin in the first quarter of 2004? A) 0.246. B) 0.250. C) 0.256.
Question
With respect to heteroskedasticity in the model, we can definitively say:
Answer Choices:
A. nothing
B. an ARCH process exists because the autocorrelation coefficients of the residuals have different signs
C. heteroskedasticity is not a problem because the DW statistic is not significant
Explanation
None of the information in the problem provides information concerning heteroskedasticity. Note that heteroskedasticity occurs when the variance of the error terms is not constant. When heteroskedasticity is present in a time series, the residuals appear to come from different distributions (model seems to fit better in some time periods than others).
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