Question #56
Reading: Reading 21 Free Cash Flow Valuation
PDF File: Reading 21 Free Cash Flow Valuation.pdf
Page: 28
Status: Unattempted
Part of Context Group: Q56-57
First in Group
Shared Context
Question
How many on of Tony's concerns are valid?
Answer Choices:
A. Both
B. Neither
C. Only concern 2
Explanation
Concern 1: He is correct that declines in inventory give one off boosts to cash flow from
operations and hence free cash flow. In addition, it is unlikely that Fishy Discs inventory
will decline in future periods given we are expecting growth of 12% in the near term.
Concern 2: The corporate finance firm are using a three-stage model with declining growth
after four years. The model takes six years for growth to decline to sustainable levels.
Given that Fishy Discs will lose its exclusivity agreement with the U.S. producer in four
years, it is likely that the decline in growth will be far more rapid. Once barriers to entry
are removed growth will decline from 12% to 4% far more rapidly than is being modelled.
For companies that sustain economic profit due barriers to entry such as patents,
copyrights and other agreements using a two stage model may model the decline in
growth due to an influx in competition more accurately.